Blackjack: Odds & Simulated House Edge

Blackjack has the lowest house edge on the floor when you play basic strategy. Our table uses liberal rules — the dealer stands on soft 17, you can double after splitting, and late surrender is allowed — which put the edge around 0.26%, even lower than the ~0.5% you'll see where the dealer hits soft 17.

The win, push, bust, and blackjack rates below come from playing full hands with our engine — hitting, standing, doubling, splitting, and surrendering exactly per basic strategy — then letting the dealer play and settling every hand.

0.26%

House edge

S17 · DAS · surrender

42.8%

Win rate

of hands

8.1%

Push rate

of hands

13.2%

You bust

of hands

4.5%

Natural blackjack

of hands

Dealer bust chance by up-card

Exact probabilities (dealer stands on all 17s).

Up-card	Busts
Dealer 2	35%
Dealer 3	37%
Dealer 4	39%
Dealer 5	42%
Dealer 6	42%
Dealer 7	26%
Dealer 8	24%
Dealer 9	23%
Dealer 10	21%
Dealer Ace	12%

Rates from a live 120,000-hand basic-strategy simulation (reseeded daily), which confirms the ~0.26% edge within sampling error.

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