Hard 12 vs Dealer 4: Hit or Stand?
With a hard 12 (10-2) against a dealer 4, basic strategy says to stand. This is the mathematically correct play over the long run — it's exactly what the Blackjack Trainer grades your decisions against.
A dealer showing 4 busts about 39% of the time. That's a weak up-card, which is why you lean toward standing on stiff totals and doubling strong ones — you want money on the table when the dealer is most likely to break.
This is a stiff total, but the dealer's weak up-card makes standing the higher-value play — don't risk busting when the dealer is likely to do it for you.
What the dealer does with a 4
Assuming the dealer stands on all 17s, here is how a 4 up-card finishes over the long run:
| Dealer final | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | Bust |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 39% |
Hard 12 vs every dealer up-card
H = Hit · S = Stand · D = Double · Sp = Split · Su = Surrender. Tap any card to see that matchup.
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